![]() Advanced information technologies will generate new and more creative ways to build and maintain cohesion and common purpose among members of a group. Legitimacy of state authority in many weak states will steadily decline. In the future, ideological conflict will continue to evolve. Future trends could also include proliferation of weapons of mass destruction by terrorist, insurgent, or criminal groups. Weak states might be internally further weakened because of poor governance and increased unrest by dissatisfied segments of the population. Some rising regional powers might embark on a policy of “fracturing” weak neighboring states. The international order could be put under great stress because many weak states might become failed states. In the future, some rising powers will be unwilling to support international organizations that underpin stable and secure international order. By doing so, they will extend their capabilities beyond their respective region. Rising regional powers will resort to intensified use of proxies to avoid direct conflict, minimize risk of escalation, and provide plausible deniability. The future security environment will be characterized by increased Great Power competition. It encompasses many diverse operations, ranging from homeland security to counterinsurgency (see figure 1). 1 The term operations short of war used here is a variant of operations other than war. Related terms are low-intensity conflict irregular warfare stability and support operations global war on terror and stability, security, transition, and reconstruction operations. For example, the term operations other than war was used in referring to all military operations other than combat and garrison activities. ![]() Some of them were either too broad, others too narrow in scope. Various terms were used in the past in referring to the employment of combat forces short of high-intensity conventional war.
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